Eurozone Inflation Is Rising and the Euro Keeps Falling - Video

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Euro dollar weakness is holding despite eurozone inflation at a two year high, because weak growth data is outweighing hawkish rate bets.

Fiona Cincotta, StoneX Senior Market Analyst, breaks down why the single currency is under pressure, what German retail sales revealed about domestic demand, and which release matters next.

Eurozone inflation rose to 3.3% year on year in August, its highest level since September 2023 and well above the European Central Bank's 2% target, driven largely by rising energy prices. Markets are now pricing roughly an 80% probability of a second rate hike after a September move, yet German retail sales fell 3.4% in July against expectations of a 0.4% increase, the sharpest decline in four years. Rising Brent crude and firmer Treasury yields add a second layer of pressure, with the U.S. jobs report on Friday the next major test.

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00:00 - Hot Inflation, Weaker Euro
00:26 - European Central Bank Bets
01:22 - German Retail Sales Crack
02:09 - Crude Adds to Euro Pressure
02:45 - U.S. Jobs Report Is Next Test
03:29 - Where the Euro Breaks Next

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Category
Twitch Hot Tub
Tags
Fiona Cincotta, euro dollar, eurozone inflation
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